On Wednesday the 19th of June, 3 renegade Epsom Economists
ditched the bucolic surroundings of the college in favour of the roaring urban
environment of the London School of Economic' s Old Theatre. The eventual
spectacle was a coalesce of an
interesting , though rather sobering , analysis of the sad future for economic
growth under current practices in the west and an indictment of present policy
makers infatuation with Quantitative easing, which is the monetary policy in
which governments increase bank liquidity and also private company liquidity by
purchasing bonds. The lecture far surpassed
the minimum expectation of an eloquent plug of King’s latest book and was fully
accessible even to myself as a young dilettante economist.
Kings book and lecture succinctly detailed the changes in
economic growth of Britain sectioning this into time periods across Kings own
(half century long) life. The figures substantiating King’s worry for western
affluence as he states between 1963-73 average growth per capita was 37%, this
figure dwindling to just 4% between 2003-2014 , in spite of much
technological progress, notably the dot
com boom. King did not forecast any imminent resurgence, citing fundamental
flaws and misinterpretations of behavioral economics as well as an increasing
reliance upon mathematical practice as the reasons behind government’s
adoration of Q.E and inability to truly crack the problem of this dwindling
growth in western countries, the US also sharing a low average of 2.5% growth
between 2003 and 2004. A notably damning
highlight of present western policy was Kings humorous comparison between policy
maker’s infatuation with Q.E and Sigmund Freud’s description of the desperate man’s
religious 'delusional' faith , something implausible and sought out and substituted when there is no other viable
hopeful solution. With monetarism tending central banks towards 0% base
rates, leaving next to no room for central banks to manipulate the money supply to encourage
lending and satisfy demands for growth, King alleges that policy makers have
found a willful and misplaced hope in Quantitative easing, which he implies is
throwing money at the problem and not tackling the heart of the issue which is
far greater than that of a recent financial crisis and what he preempts as the true heart of why
western affluence and why the promises of future recovery many of us are
inspired by are mendacious attempts to avert attention from the true economic quandary
he believes we are in.
In the lecture was a few shots at Krugman and other economists
regarding different takes on matters, just to spice up the lecture. After all an
economist rarely stands and speaks without taking a swipe at another economist.
Both the lecture and Book share the title
When the Money Runs Out: The End of Western Affluence
I’m sure that many of you reading this were unable to fit
into the cramped and sweaty Old Theatre so for those of you that missed it,
here is a link to the podcast and also a link to the
book if you so please.
The book: http://www.amazon.co.uk/When-Money-Runs-Out-Affluence/dp/0300190522/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1363792647&sr=1-1
The lecture (on podcast): http://www.lse.ac.uk/newsAndMedia/videoAndAudio/channels/publicLecturesAndEvents/player.aspx?id=1936
picture from yalebooks.co.uk